Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.246806 0.283816 0.323599 0.369436 0.420683 0.476100 0.540448
2025-12-28 0.193222 0.244340 0.303678 0.377186 0.465309 0.567043 0.692821
2026-01-04 0.154607 0.213892 0.287818 0.385639 0.510408 0.662857 0.861672
2026-01-11 0.122448 0.184848 0.268181 0.385467 0.543796 0.747357 1.025622
2026-01-18 0.097854 0.160723 0.250350 0.383965 0.573942 0.829616 1.193962
2026-01-25 0.078715 0.140332 0.233845 0.380994 0.600455 0.908309 1.363627
2026-02-01 0.064089 0.123703 0.219753 0.378749 0.626559 0.987507 1.539444
2026-02-08 0.052483 0.109487 0.206792 0.375787 0.650230 1.064049 1.716304
2026-02-15 0.042945 0.096765 0.193972 0.370772 0.669277 1.134175 1.887767
2026-02-22 0.036996 0.089433 0.189085 0.377899 0.707714 1.235930 2.112947
2026-03-01 0.030736 0.080022 0.178780 0.373917 0.726707 1.307753 2.295723
2026-03-08 0.026104 0.072966 0.171690 0.374532 0.753035 1.392504 2.503423
2026-03-15 0.021520 0.064995 0.161644 0.368601 0.767763 1.460131 2.689760
2026-03-22 0.019360 0.062357 0.162261 0.383468 0.821550 1.597461 2.999582
2026-03-29 0.017341 0.059579 0.162109 0.396691 0.873318 1.734613 3.317043
2026-04-05 0.014928 0.055073 0.157273 0.399474 0.905172 1.838548 3.583457
2026-04-12 0.012748 0.050588 0.151675 0.399799 0.931994 1.934850 3.841617
2026-04-19 0.010799 0.046194 0.145481 0.397903 0.953930 2.023247 4.090206
2026-04-26 0.009169 0.042287 0.139787 0.396316 0.976122 2.113148 4.345820
2026-05-03 0.007754 0.038619 0.134014 0.393704 0.995701 2.198947 4.597979
2026-05-10 0.006488 0.035008 0.127668 0.388777 1.009634 2.274340 4.834302
2026-05-17 0.005763 0.033268 0.126404 0.396385 1.051702 2.407173 5.184309
2026-05-24 0.004846 0.030326 0.120923 0.392354 1.067085 2.487445 5.438129